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PFT??™s NFL Week 8 2020 picks.
Week Eight already is here. And I??™m finally starting to make my move.
Last week, I mustered an 11-3 record straight up, with 7-6-1 against the spread. MDS went 9-5 and 4-9-1.
For the year, I??™ve opened up a small lead in the straight-up contest, 68-37 vs. 66-39. Against the spread, I??™m at 51-51-3. MDS is at 45-58-1.
This week, we disagree on two games. For all picks and predicted scores, scroll away.
MDS??™s take : The Falcons have looked a little better since Raheem Morris took over as interim head coach, but I see the Panthers beating them handily on Thursday night.
MDS??™s pick : Panthers 28, Falcons 17.
Florio??™s take : Carolina is giving every other franchise that will be rebuilding in the future a lesson in how to properly do it.
Florio??™s pick : Panthers 30, Falcons 27.
MDS??™s take : It??™s time for a changing of the guard in the AFC East. The Bills will cruise against a Patriots team that just doesn??™t have it.
MDS??™s pick : Bills 27, Patriots 20.
Florio??™s take : The Bills can??™t run or stop the run. The Patriots can do both, and they can frustrate Josh Allen and the Buffalo passing game.
Florio??™s pick : Patriots 23, Bills 20.
Titans (-6) at Bengals.
MDS??™s take : Joe Burrow is playing well, but the gap in talent between these two teams is enormous. The Titans will bounce back from last week??™s loss.
MDS??™s pick : Titans 24, Bengals 20.
Florio??™s take : Tennessee gets back on the right track by slowly suffocating a team that has a franchise quarterback but still too much dysfunction around him.
Florio??™s pick : Titans 27, Bengals 20.
MDS??™s take : The Browns will eke out a close win as they continue their improbable run toward a return to the playoffs.
MDS??™s pick : Browns 21, Raiders 20.
Florio??™s take : The Browns have five more games they should win, three more games they should lose. This one falls into the ???maybe??? category. It??™s a toss-up, but I??™ll ride with the team that finds a way to beat the non-elite teams.
Florio??™s pick : Browns 24, Raiders 20.
Colts (-3) at Lions.
MDS??™s take : The Lions have won two in a row, but they haven??™t played a defense as good as the Colts. Indianapolis will win a low-scoring game.
MDS??™s pick : Colts 17, Lions 13.
Florio??™s take : The Colts had two weeks to get ready for a Lions team that lucked its way into a game it shouldn??™t have won. If Indy doesn??™t win this one, Indy isn??™t a real contender.
Florio??™s pick : Colts 24, Lions 17.
MDS??™s take : The Vikings are just not going to contend this season. If that weren??™t already obvious, the Packers will make it clear on Sunday.
MDS??™s pick : Packers 31, Vikings 20.
Florio??™s take : Aaron Rodgers thinks the Vikings should keep Mike Zimmer. Based on Week One, of course Rodgers does.
Florio??™s pick : Packers 34, Vikings 17.
MDS??™s take : It??™s tough to know how to bet when the point spread is near three touchdowns, but I see the Chiefs winning comfortably but taking it easy enough on the Jets to keep the score relatively close.
MDS??™s pick : Chiefs 34, Jets 23.
Florio??™s take : The Chiefs learned their lesson when losing to the Raiders, and Le??™Veon Bell will have plenty of reasons to run through and around his former team??™s defense.
Florio??™s pick : Chiefs 38, Jets 17.
Rams (-4) at Dolphins.
MDS??™s take : It??™s Tua Tagovialoa time, but he??™s drawing a tough opponent in his first start. Aaron Donald is going to make this a long day for a Dolphins team that is choosing to prioritize the future rather than compete for the playoffs this year.
MDS??™s pick : Rams 27, Dolphins 14.
Florio??™s take : Congratulations could quickly become condolences for Tua.
Florio??™s pick : Rams 28, Dolphins 20.
MDS??™s take : The Steelers will get their first loss of the season as the Ravens??™ offense comes alive in a great AFC North battle.
MDS??™s pick : Ravens 35, Steelers 30.
Florio??™s take : The Steelers are closing in on team of destiny territory. Beating the Ravens in Baltimore could clinch it.
Florio??™s pick : Steelers 27, Ravens 24.
Chargers (-3) at Broncos.
MDS??™s take : Vic Fangio will have a good game plan for Justin Herbert, but the Broncos have been hit hard by injuries and just don??™t have the personnel.
MDS??™s pick : Chargers 28, Broncos 20.
Florio??™s take : The Chargers are far better than their record suggests. The Broncos arguably are worse than theirs would indicate.
Florio??™s pick : Chargers 30, Broncos 23.
Saints (-4) at Bears.
MDS??™s take : The Bears??™ offense has been even worse with Nick Foles than it was with Mitch Trubisky. The Saints haven??™t been quite as great a team as I thought they would be, but they should easily outscore Chicago.
MDS??™s pick : Saints 28, Bears 17.
Florio??™s take : Matt Nagy may soon be developing a gut feeling to go back to Mitch Trubisky.
Florio??™s pick : Saints 24, Bears 13.
MDS??™s take : The 49ers have played much better football than anyone reasonably could have expected after their rash of early-season injuries, but they??™re going to have a hard time keeping Russell Wilson in check.
MDS??™s pick : Seahawks 31, 49ers 27.
Florio??™s take : The 49ers don??™t have the pass rush to corral Russell Wilson.
Florio??™s pick : Seahawks 34, 49ers 30.
MDS??™s take : The NFC East is weak, but the Eagles are clearly the best team in it. They??™ll make that clear against the Cowboys.
MDS??™s pick : Eagles 31, Cowboys 14.
Florio??™s take : The Cowboys are the NFC equivalent of the Jets ??” both bad and non-competitive.
Florio??™s pick : Eagles 27, Cowboys 10.
Buccaneers (-10.5) at Giants.
MDS??™s take : Tom Brady will get a prime time opportunity to make his case that he??™s an MVP candidate in a game the Bucs won??™t have much trouble winning.
MDS??™s pick : Buccaneers 27, Giants 20.
Florio??™s take : With the Giants facing a COVID-19 crunch, a blowout becomes even more likely.
Florio??™s pick : Buccaneers 38, Giants 16.
NFL football pool, pick'em, office pool, confidence picks for Week 8, 2020: Back the Packers.
SportsLine's advanced computer model locked in the top NFL office pool picks for Week 8.
Divisional matchups highlight the Week 8 NFL schedule, with Steelers vs. Ravens, Vikings vs. Packers, 49ers vs. Seahawks and Eagles vs. Cowboys peppering the slate. Despite being the only undefeated team remaining in the NFL, the Steelers enter Sunday's AFC North battle as 3.5-point underdogs, according to the latest NFL odds from William Hill. Pittsburgh is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games, but the Steelers are just 2-6-1 against the number in their last nine meetings against the Ravens. Which side should you back with your NFL office pool picks?
Meanwhile, the Seahawks are favored by three in their NFC West battle against the 49ers. Will Seattle bounce back from its first loss of the season or will San Francisco win its third straight game? And with only two games featuring double-digit NFL spreads, there will be some extremely tough calls for your Week 8 NFL confidence pool picks. Before you make your NFL predictions, you need to see the Week 8 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model.
This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. It's off to a hot 74-30 start to the 2020 season, and anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 8 2020 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 8 NFL office pool predictions.
One of the top Week 8 NFL pick'em predictions from the model: Green Bay gets a comfortable win at home against Minnesota. Green Bay has been sensational at Lambeau Field, winning its last eight home games. Minnesota, meanwhile, limps into Sunday's NFC North battle having won just one game this season.
Green Bay also dominated the Vikings earlier this season, beating Minnesota 43-34 in Week 1. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers had a field day against Minnesota's defense that day, throwing for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Davante Adams also had a big day in Green Bay's Week 1 win, hauling in 14 receptions for 156 yards and two scores.
SportsLine's model predicts Green Bay's offense will pile up big numbers again on Sunday, as Rodgers throws for over 275 yards and two touchdown and Adams eclipses the 100-yard receiving mark for the third time in his last four games. Those are big reasons why the model predicts that Green Bay wins this rivalry game well over 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 8 NFL office pool picks.
The model also made the call on every other Week 8 game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Ravens vs. Steelers and Browns vs. Raiders. It's also calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks here.
NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 8, 2020: Proven model backing Ravens, Packers.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 8 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The Packers are back in first place in the NFC North standings and now host the Vikings on Sunday with a chance to move to 6-1. Aaron Rodgers and company are six-point favorites in the latest Week 8 NFL odds from William Hill. Green Bay is the only team in the league with a perfect record against the spread at home (2-0) and the offense is back on track following its abysmal performance against Tampa Bay two weeks ago. Can the Packers cover one of the larger NFL spreads of the week?
Meanwhile, the Week 8 NFL betting lines also list the Chiefs as 19.5-point favorites at home against the Jets. That game originally opened with the Chiefs favored by 21.5 in the Week 8 NFL Vegas lines, making it just the third game to open with a spread of 20 or more in the last decade. All of the Week 8 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 8 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,800 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 15-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 8 on an incredible 111-72 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 8 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 8.
One of the top Week 8 NFL predictions the model recommends: Baltimore covers comfortably as a four-point home favorite in a critical AFC North matchup against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is the only undefeated team remaining in the NFL at 6-0 and is also 5-1 against the spread.
Despite having nothing to play for with home-field advantage locked up and Lamar Jackson on the bench, the Ravens recorded a dominant 28-10 win as one-point underdogs the last time these two teams met last December. This game should look different with Lamar Jackson and Ben Roethlisberger back in their respective lineups, but even Pittsburgh's excellent rushing defense that ranked third in yards per carry was gashed for 361 total rushing yards in two losses to Baltimore last year.
After 10,000 simulations, the model says Baltimore covers well over 50 percent of the time. The under (44) also hits well over 50 percent of the time.
Another one of the top Week 8 NFL predictions from the model: The Packers (-6) cover as home favorites against the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have feasted against struggling defenses this year. The Packers have won and covered all four games against teams that give up more than 25 points per game. Minnesota certainly fits that bill, ranking 30th in the league in scoring defense at 32 points per contest.
The Vikings are a shell of themselves in the front seven with linebacker Anthony Barr (pectoral muscle) and defensive end Danielle Hunter (neck) on injured reserve. Minnesota also shipped defensive end Yannick Ngakoue to Baltimore last week. SportsLine's model predicts that Green Bay will score more than 30 points as the Packers cover in well over 50 percent of the simulations. The Packers also hold the Vikings under their season-long scoring average (25.8 points) as the over (50) hits well over 50 percent of the time.
How to make Week 8 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 8 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 8? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks.
NFL Week 8 game picks: Steelers top Ravens; 49ers nip Seahawks.
Around The NFL Editor.
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Gregg Rosenthal went 10-4 on his predictions for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season, bringing his total record to 66-38-1. How will he fare in Week 8? His picks are below.
SUNDAY, NOV. 1.
Pittsburgh Steelers 26, Baltimore Ravens 24.
These teams are so good that it's hard not to focus on the imperfections. The running game should be the foundation of the Ravens' attack, but it's hard to imagine it working consistently against a Steelers defense that represents Baltimore's toughest challenge this season by far. The way to beat Pittsburgh is over the top, with big passes against some vulnerable cornerbacks. Lamar Jackson and friends are capable of exploding at any moment, but I haven't seen it enough yet to trust them this week. Pittsburgh's formula of young wideouts making plays after the catch buoyed by an improving James Conner feels more sustainable.
Los Angeles Rams 24, Miami Dolphins 23.
Just as I was beginning to believe in the Dolphins as a potential playoff team, they benched Ryan Fitzpatrick and went on a bye week. It remains to be seen whether Tua Tagovailoa is an upgrade, but dismissing the possibility is foolish. He's entering a fine situation. Chan Gailey's offense is perfect for Tua's quick-passing, quick-twitch style. The offensive line looks better on tape than the analytics say. Coach Brian Flores' defense, 14th in DVOA, is great when it gets ahead on down and distance. That will be tough to do against the Rams' underrated Darrell Henderson-led rushing attack, which makes this game feel like a total coin flip.
Kansas City Chiefs 34, New York Jets 11.
After a few signs of life early against the Bills, Sam Darnold retreated. Whether it's Darnold's fault or Adam Gase's, the third-year quarterback's decision-making remains his biggest problem. Opposing coordinators are still making him see ghosts too often. It's a matchup that plays beautifully to the Chiefs' defensive strengths. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo loves cooking up blitzes and using Tyrann Mathieu to mess with the minds of young signal-callers. The return of underrated cornerback Bashaud Breeland to the Chiefs' lineup makes this Kansas City defense dynamic, especially in the right matchup.
Green Bay Packers 34, Minnesota Vikings 20.
Trading Yannick Ngakoue in the same week that the Vikings announced Danielle Hunter is out for the season was a sign of surrender. Teams facing the Packers this season have no chance if they have no pass rush, and it's hard to see how Minnesota disrupts Aaron Rodgers. The Vikings' cornerbacks are also all kinds of injured. With Packers left tackle David Bakhtiari trending toward a return this week, Rodgers should have some fun.
Indianapolis Colts 26, Detroit Lions 20.
The Colts are getting healthier, just in time for the tougher part of their schedule. Darius Leonard's absence in the last two games outlined why the linebacker is one of the league's most valuable defenders, but it appears he's likely to return this week. Rookie wideout Michael Pittman Jr. and speedy pass rusher Kemoko Turay might not be far behind. That doesn't make the Colts some huge favorites in this game, unless Philip Rivers can bring back the mid-range magic he displayed against the Bengals before the team's bye. I don't have a great feel for either team here. They are NFL teams in the middle, prone to playing in one-score games in silent domes during a season none of us will ever forget.
Las Vegas Raiders 33, Cleveland Browns 30.
Baker Mayfield shined last week in part because the Bengals never took away his first read. This bankrupt Raiders defense is also unlikely to do so, which sets up a shootout. I like how Derek Carr has amped up his aggression in recent games, even when it doesn't work out. Myles Garrett needs more help from his well-paid teammates on the D-line in this one, and I'm not confident he'll get it against a strong Raiders O-line and roster that is getting healthier.
Tennessee Titans 31, Cincinnati Bengals 28.
The Bengals are 1-12-1 in one-score games under Zac Taylor. I can't tell if he's the best 3-19-1 coach of all time or a massive underachiever, considering how competitive the Bengals have been. Joe Burrow and the offense look better each week, and the Titans' milquetoast pass rush and secondary represent a sneaky-good matchup. That sets up the Bengals to do what they do best: Lose a close game against a quality team, with moral victories aplenty when Burrow and fellow rookie Tee Higgins shine.
Buffalo Bills 24, New England Patriots 18.
Sean McDermott is 0-6 against Bill Belichick, but these aren't the same Patriots. Cam Newton's deep slump, which started before his positive COVID-19 test, has distracted from how much worse New England's defense is this year. That's welcome news for Josh Allen, who hasn't led the Bills to more than 18 points in any of their last three games after averaging over 30 in their first four. Allen's struggles against Belichick are well-documented, and Buffalo's defensive shortcomings versus the run could keep this game close. Still, the talent gap is wide. The Bills should have been ready to beat a limited Pats team in Foxborough last December. If they can't do it now, something is seriously wrong.
Denver Broncos 27, Los Angeles Chargers 26.
This might be my favorite game of Week 8, because there is so much at stake, and because it's fun to say surprising things. I need Justin Herbert to have a bad game against a savvy veteran defensive coordinator, or it will be hard to contain the hyperbole that I desperately desire to shower upon him as one of the best quarterbacks to enter the NFL in the last 20 years. The Broncos are coming off an embarrassing performance, and Melvin Ingram's return last week changed the Chargers' defense, yet I can't help but stubbornly believe for one more week that Denver's offensive talent is ready to explode, and that evil spirits descend upon the Bolts late in games. Surprises are fun.
San Francisco 49ers 28, Seattle Seahawks 27.
Deebo Samuel's injury takes the air out of the 49ers' resurgence, but it doesn't end it. The team's offensive-line cohesion, Kyle Shanahan's play-calling, George Kittle's Kittleness and Brandon Aiyuk's emergence make San Francisco's offense dangerous again. It always finds a running back. Whether a diminished 49ers defensive line can do enough to bother Peak Russ is another matter, which should make for a fun edition of what is currently the NFL's best rivalry. This 49ers season has been a rollercoaster, but at their best, they are more complete than the 'Hawks. San Francisco is the only team other than Tampa Bay that ranks in the top eight of DVOA in offense and defense, while the bye week didn't solve Seattle's defensive issues. This wouldn't be that big of an upset.
New Orleans Saints 26, Chicago Bears 16.
The Bears have one of the NFL's worst offenses, and they could be without their best player (Allen Robinson, who's in the concussion protocol) in a short week. That sets up a get-right game in a matchup of struggling units up front when the Saints' defense is on the field. I like the New Orleans pass rush -- led by Cameron Jordan, Marcus Davenport and David Onyemata -- to finally get some push. The Saints' offense might not be what it once was, but it's still miles better than the Bears', even if Michael Thomas remains out.
( UPDATE: On Friday, the Saints ruled Thomas out for Sunday's game.)
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